I am not familiar with the monte-carlo simulations.
And like many of these questions this is open to different interpretations.
Note: this answer has been changed so has my interpretation :)
I am going to interprete it to mean - Exactly 2 red lights in a row and none of the others are red
now they can be
1&2 or 2&3 or 3&4 or 4&5 So that is 4 ways
the number of ways that the 2 reds can come first is 1*1*2*2*2 = 8
So altogether there are 8*4 = 32 ways the you can get exactly 2 red lights in a rowand no other red lights
Now the total number of possibilities is $${{\mathtt{3}}}^{{\mathtt{5}}} = {\mathtt{243}}$$
So I think that the answer is $${\frac{{\mathtt{32}}}{{\mathtt{243}}}} = {\mathtt{0.131\: \!687\: \!242\: \!798\: \!353\: \!9}}$$
.